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League One
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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 2
Ipswich


Cashin (3'), McGoldrick (23'), Smith (60'), White (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chaplin (17'), Hirst (76')
Clarke (41'), Walton (51'), Burns (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Ipswich Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League One

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
33.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.049000000000007 0.05)48.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (0.044 0.04)70.55% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)27.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)63.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)23.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.042999999999999 0.04)57.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.48%
    Ipswich Town 41.02%
    Draw 25.5%
Derby CountyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Derby vs Ipswich

Derby County
0.0%
Draw
9.1%
Ipswich Town
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 8pm
Ipswich
1-0
Derby
Burns (67')
Morsy (10')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Ipswich
1-1
Derby
Nolan (55')
Bishop (57'), Chalobah (63'), Pennington (94')
Lawrence (2')
Waghorn (21'), Holmes (57'), Bennett (85'), Johnson (94')
> Match Report
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Derby
2-0
Ipswich
Ledley (59'), Lawrence (68')
Bryson (16'), Keogh (42')

Skuse (47'), Nsiala (67')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Ipswich
1-2
Derby
Garner (65')
Webster (43')
Winnall (13', 48')
Nov 28, 2017 7.45pm
Derby
0-1
Ipswich

Lawrence (33'), Russell (90'), Baird (90')
Connolly (5')
Chambers (58'), Webster (64'), Downes (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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