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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 67.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 13.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Exeter City |
67.52% ( -0.65) | 19.35% ( 0.34) | 13.13% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.81) | 44.22% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( -0.79) | 66.6% ( 0.79) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( -0.41) | 12.11% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -0.88) | 37.68% ( 0.87) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.31% ( -0.03) | 44.69% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.31% ( -0.02) | 80.68% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Exeter City |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.29% Total : 67.51% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.05% 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |