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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
37.93% ( -1.64) | 25.03% ( -0.32) | 37.03% ( 1.96) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% ( 1.61) | 45.79% ( -1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 1.51) | 68.11% ( -1.52) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -0.13) | 23.83% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% ( -0.19) | 58% ( 0.19) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% ( 1.85) | 24.31% ( -1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.31% ( 2.55) | 58.69% ( -2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |