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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

 We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
23.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.035 0.04)69.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.99%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 23.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
    Draw 23.05%
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Plymouth

Morecambe
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Morecambe
Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Morecambe
Grant (14'), Hardie (43')

Connolly (34'), Stockton (59')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Plymouth
Ayunga (6')
Jones (65')
Mayor (12')
Houghton (79'), Galloway (84')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
P-P
Plymouth
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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