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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City

Exeter
vs.
Lincoln

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We say: Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City

 Exeter are the masters of pragmatism in League One, being near the bottom of the scoring charts but fighting for a playoff spot, with eight clean sheets from 13 league games so far. However, Lincoln are very strong on the road, with just one league defeat away from home this season, meaning this encounter should be extremely tight and tough to call. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 33.31% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
39.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.02 -0.02)75.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)30.43% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.86%
    Lincoln City 33.31%
    Draw 26.82%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

Who will win Saturday's League One clash between Exeter and Lincoln?

Exeter City
Draw
Lincoln City
Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
75.0%
4
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Lincoln
1-0
Exeter
Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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