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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.65% ( 0.33) | 22.08% ( -0.2) | 19.26% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% ( 0.7) | 44.83% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% ( 0.67) | 67.19% ( -0.66) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.34) | 14.95% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% ( 0.65) | 43.37% ( -0.65) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.83% ( 0.27) | 37.17% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.04% ( 0.26) | 73.95% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 50 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Reading | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 43 |
11 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 30 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 28 |
21 | Burton Albion | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 25 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 24 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
> League One Full Table |