Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
53.61% ( -0.01) | 24.99% ( 0) | 21.4% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -0.01) | 53.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( -0) | 75.41% ( 0) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( -0) | 20.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.64% ( -0.01) | 52.36% ( 0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.83% ( 0) | 40.17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% | 76.81% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |