Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga0 - 1Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Eldense
Wednesday, December 6 at 4pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, December 6 at 4pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Alaves
Tuesday, January 2 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Tuesday, January 2 at 6.15pm in La Liga
We said: Malaga 0-1 Real Sociedad
Malaga might be able to frustrate the visitors thanks to a well-disciplined defensive shape, but Sociedad know what it takes to overcome these close games, and that has us leaning towards them advancing into the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Real Sociedad |
34.26% ( -0.22) | 28.92% ( -0.14) | 36.82% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 45.03% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.46) | 61.61% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( 0.33) | 81.45% ( -0.33) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.1) | 33.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.61% ( 0.1) | 70.38% ( -0.1) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.46) | 32.05% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.48% ( 0.52) | 68.52% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Malaga 34.25%
Real Sociedad 36.82%
Draw 28.91%
| Malaga | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.82% |
How you voted: Malaga vs Real Sociedad
Malaga
14.3%Draw
8.6%Real Sociedad
77.1%35
Form Guide
