Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
16.38% | 23.35% | 60.26% |
Both teams to score 44.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.77% | 54.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.37% | 75.63% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.86% | 46.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.17% | 81.83% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% | 17.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.67% | 48.32% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 2.44% 3-1 @ 1.09% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.38% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 14.13% 0-2 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-4 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-5 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |