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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Atletico

Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
23.21%26.62%50.18%
Both teams to score 45.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81%58.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23%40.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65%77.35%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.26%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.21%
    Atletico Madrid 50.17%
    Draw 26.61%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.21%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.21%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 13.84%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
19.5%
Draw
18.7%
Atletico Madrid
61.8%
123
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
Jun 14, 2020 1pm
Oct 26, 2019 8pm
Mar 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Williams (73'), Kodro (85')
Garcia (37'), San Jose (77'), Alvarez (82')

Rodrigo (45')
Nov 10, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
3-2
Athletic Bilbao
Partey (61'), Rodri (80'), Godin (90')
Costa (38'), Kalinic (66'), Vitolo (66'), Adan (66'), Correa (90')
Williams (36', 64')
Etxebarria (49'), San Jose (82'), de Marcos (86'), Martinez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca219391926-730
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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