Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
28.74% | 26.83% | 44.43% |
Both teams to score 49.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.5% | 55.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% | 76.68% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.5% | 34.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.79% | 71.21% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.16% | 24.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.56% | 59.44% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |