Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo1 - 2Fortaleza
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 17 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Sunday, September 17 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Fortaleza |
57.63% ( 0.01) | 24.54% ( 0) | 17.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.78% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.54% ( -0.02) | 56.46% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.54% ( -0.02) | 77.46% ( 0.02) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0) | 19.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% ( -0.01) | 51.38% ( 0.01) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.38% ( -0.03) | 45.62% ( 0.03) |