Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Goias and Fortaleza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Goias in this match.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Fortaleza |
41.8% ( -0.3) | 28.88% ( -0.74) | 29.31% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.85% ( 2.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.56% ( 2.65) | 62.43% ( -2.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.94% ( 1.9) | 82.06% ( -1.9) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 1.15) | 29.49% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% ( 1.39) | 65.5% ( -1.39) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( 2.34) | 37.81% ( -2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.42% ( 2.21) | 74.58% ( -2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Goias 41.8%
Fortaleza 29.31%
Draw 28.87%
| Goias | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( -1.16)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.68% Total : 29.31% |
How you voted: Goias vs Fortaleza
Goias
57.1%Draw
28.6%Fortaleza
14.3%7
