Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Estudiantes3 - 0Goias
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-3 Estudiantes
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, July 28 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Estudiantes 1-0 Goias
The Argentines are in fine form at the moment and have looked very well-organised and virtually impenetrable defensively in this competition to date. We do not expect them to be tested too much on Wednesday against one of the weakest attacking units in the Brasileiro Serie A this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Goias |
64.41% ( -1.01) | 22.16% ( 0.57) | 13.42% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 41.09% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( -1.27) | 54.87% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( -1.06) | 76.16% ( 1.05) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( -0.77) | 16.47% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.82% ( -1.41) | 46.17% ( 1.4) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.07) | 50.81% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.79% ( -0.05) | 85.21% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Estudiantes 64.41%
Goias 13.42%
Draw 22.15%
| Estudiantes | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 15.09% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.47% Total : 64.41% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.38% Total : 13.42% |
How you voted: Estudiantes vs Goias
Estudiantes
88.9%Draw
0.0%Goias
11.1%9
Form Guide
