Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad0 - 1Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Club Libertad 2-0 Fortaleza
Libertad's current form means they are backed to triumph against out-of-sorts Fortaleza, who could start August as they ended July — with a defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Fortaleza |
47.27% ( -0.24) | 26.26% ( 0.06) | 26.46% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
