MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:04:25| >> :60:92:92:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Club Libertad

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Libertad

Christian (72')
Santana (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Espinoza (40'), Campuzano (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-2 Libertad
Wednesday, May 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Club Libertad

One month on from Paranaense's slender success on Libertad soil, we can envisage an identical scoreline at the top-left corner of the TV screen this week, as these two sides never seem to have many problems making the net ripple against one another. The visitors' league defeat at the weekend should not be taken at face value, but with the Hurricane needing no second invitation to assert their dominance at home, Turra's side can put one foot in the knockout stages on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
54.99% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 23.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.25% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)49.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)71.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.2% (-0.012 -0.01)17.8% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.48% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)48.52% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.33% (0.045999999999999 0.05)37.66% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05)74.44% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 54.99%
    Club Libertad 21.25%
    Draw 23.75%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawClub Libertad
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Libertad

Athletico Paranaense
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Club Libertad
12.5%
24
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Libertad
1-2
Athletico PR
Cardozo (10')
Cardoso (52'), Santana (65')
Jul 6, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Libertad
1-1
Athletico PR
Santa Cruz (45+4')
Cardoso (90+1')
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Libertad

Campuzano (77')
May 18, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Athletico PR
2-0
Libertad
Cuello (56'), Canobbio (69')
Cuello (68'), Terans (80'), Henrique (81'), Canobbio (84')

Gomez (54'), Silva (55'), Barboza (80'), Caballero (81'), Mendieta (84')
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Libertad
1-0
Athletico PR
Riveros (57')
Bareiro (23')

Christian (14'), Garcia (55'), Vitinho (72'), Pablo (84')
rhs 2.0
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