Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Goias
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, April 16 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 16 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
34.98% ( 0.04) | 27.06% ( -0.01) | 37.96% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
