Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro3 - 1Millonarios
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
68.32% ( 0) | 19.18% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.53) | 44.98% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( -0.51) | 67.34% ( 0.52) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( -0.15) | 12.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -0.32) | 37.68% ( 0.33) |
Millonarios Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.81% ( -0.46) | 46.19% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.13% ( -0.36) | 81.87% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro 68.31%
Millonarios 12.5%
Draw 19.18%
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.5% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal vs. Ipswich - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Saka replacement decided: Predicted Arsenal XI against Ipswich
3
Man City vs. Everton injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
4
Aston Villa to allow Buendia to move to Championship club?
5
Fulham out to end 45-year wait in Chelsea clash
6
Wolves vs. Man Utd - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Brighton vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Watford vs. Portsmouth - prediction, team news, lineups
9
"Jesus resurrected at Christmas": Do Arsenal no longer need a new striker?
10
Man City vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups
Sport News 24/7