Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
Millonarios1 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Millonarios and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Carabobo
Thursday, March 2 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 2 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millonarios | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
28.56% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( -0) | 42.92% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.46% ( 0.02) | 61.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.61% ( 0.02) | 81.39% ( -0.02) |
Millonarios Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% ( 0.04) | 37.91% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% ( 0.04) | 74.68% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% ( -0) | 28.43% ( 0) |