Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Atletico Mineiro1 - 2Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Libertad
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Vasco
Wednesday, January 18 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, January 18 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 10.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
72.92% ( 0.08) | 17.01% ( -0.02) | 10.06% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.31% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.19% ( -0.03) | 41.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.79% ( -0.03) | 64.21% ( 0.03) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.97% ( 0.01) | 10.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.91% ( 0.03) | 33.09% ( -0.02) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.47% ( -0.12) | 48.52% ( 0.13) |