

Atletico Mineiro4 - 1Vasco
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
54.47% | 24.54% | 20.98% |
Both teams to score 48.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% | 52.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% | 74.37% |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% | 19.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% | 51.03% |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.1% | 39.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.44% | 76.55% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 12.66% 2-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.98% |