MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:55:14| >> :60:162:162:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Fortaleza

Palestino
1 - 2
Fortaleza

Farias (76')
Cornejo (4'), Farias (52'), Salas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crispim (20'), Martin Lucero (74')
Britez (44'), Romero (55'), Marcelo (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Palestino and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

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Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Palestino
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, June 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palestino 1-1 Fortaleza

 Tuesday's game is far more important to Palestino, and we expect them to book their place in the next round of the Copa Sudamericana by picking up a point. While Fortaleza have been very impressive in the competition up to this point, they did struggle in their last away match against Estudiantes Merida. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawFortaleza
28.63% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 46.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.56% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.47% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.86% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (-0.012 -0.01)54.59% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 28.63%
    Fortaleza 46.05%
    Draw 25.31%
PalestinoDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 28.63%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.78% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 46.05%

How you voted: Palestino vs Fortaleza

Palestino
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Fortaleza
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Fortaleza
4-0
Palestino
Galhardo (4'), Pochettino (75', 90+4'), Martin Lucero (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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