MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:57:12| >> :120:4225:4225:
San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
0 - 0
Palestino


Gattoni (22'), Perez (27'), Elias (33'), Hernandez (49')
Cerutti (86')
FT

Vejar (14'), Salas (23'), Davila (25'), Rojas (34'), Benitez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between San Lorenzo and Palestino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Colon
Sunday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Palestino

All competitions
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-5 Palestino
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: San Lorenzo 2-1 Palestino

 San Lorenzo will be targeting three points - and ideally a winning margin of at least two goals - so that they head into the final matchday with their destiny in their own hands in terms of remaining in the Copa Sudamericana. While we think that they should be able to edge to a marginal victory, they may still be relying on a favour from Fortaleza against Palestino on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawPalestino
54.86% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 25.39% (0.023 0.02) 19.75% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)57.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)78.04% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (-0.058 -0.06)53.59% (0.058 0.06)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)43.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.05% (0.025000000000002 0.03)79.95% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 54.85%
    Palestino 19.75%
    Draw 25.38%
San LorenzoDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 14.32%
2-0 @ 11.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.75%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Palestino

San Lorenzo
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Palestino
0.0%
5
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Palestino
0-0
San Lorenzo
rhs 2.0
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