Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo1 - 0LDU Quito
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We say: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (Sao Paulo advances on penalties)
They have done it before and there is no reason to suggest that Sao Paulo cannot turn the tables in their favour once again come Thursday. While we expect a close match, we also believe that as the pressure begins to mount the experience of the Brazilians in these situations will give them a psychological edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.55%).
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | LDU Quito |
57.21% ( -0.65) | 23.74% ( 0.23) | 19.05% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
