MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:19:11| >> :60:77:77:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Nublense

LDU Quito
2 - 3
Nublense

Julio (26'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Dominguez (33'), Zubeldia (34'), Gonzalez (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Rubio (35' pen.), Mina (60' og.), Manuel Rivera Zuniga (90+3')
Manuel Rivera Zuniga (64'), Aranguiz (90+4')
LDU Quito win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Nublense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nublense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-1 LDU Quito
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We say: LDU Quito 2-0 Nublense

 LDU Quito were comfortably the superior side across the first leg in Chile last week, so we do not see why things would be any different when they have home advantage on their side. As such, we expect the 2009 winners to comfortably seal their place in the last eight of the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.27%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
LDU QuitoDrawNublense
71.25% (0.051999999999992 0.05) 18.84% (0.135 0.13) 9.9% (-0.1841 -0.18)
Both teams to score 39.91% (-1.039 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (-1.042 -1.04)50.17% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (-0.934 -0.93)72.13% (0.935 0.94)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)12.81% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.87% (-0.604 -0.6)39.13% (0.607 0.61)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.77% (-1.033 -1.03)54.22% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.58% (-0.645 -0.65)87.41% (0.648 0.65)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 71.24%
    Nublense 9.9%
    Draw 18.84%
LDU QuitoDrawNublense
2-0 @ 14.66% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.44 0.44)
3-0 @ 10.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.098999999999998 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 71.24%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.289 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.84%
0-1 @ 4.25% (0.049 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 9.9%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Nublense

LDU Quito
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Nublense
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 1am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nublense
0-1
LDU Quito

Caroca (54')
Guerrero (60')
Ade (38'), Gonzalez (87'), Dominguez (90+6')
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