MX23RW : Wednesday, January 8 23:40:58| >> :60:75:75:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Nublense

Racing
4 - 0
Nublense

Rojas (50'), Hauche (54'), Moreno (71'), Piovi (86')
Rojas (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leiva (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Racing Club and Nublense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Nublense

All competitions
Last Game: Aucas 0-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Racing Club 1-1 Nublense

 With Racing likely to rest a few key players given their disappointing position in Argentina's Primera Division, we believe that Nublense have a chance of pulling off an upset on Thursday. However, they may fall just short of grabbing the win which they require in the end, although in truth even that would be unlikely to take them through to the knockout stages in any case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawNublense
71.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04) 18.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 9.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.37% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (0.050000000000004 0.05)48.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.048000000000002 0.05)70.37% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (0.022999999999996 0.02)12.12% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31% (0.056000000000004 0.06)37.69% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)86.6%
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 71.66%
    Nublense 9.94%
    Draw 18.38%
Racing ClubDrawNublense
2-0 @ 14.28%
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.89%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.38%
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.74% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.94%

How you voted: Racing vs Nublense

Racing Club
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Nublense
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Nublense
0-2
Racing
Rojas (16'), Guerrero (54')
rhs 2.0
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