MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 12:57:31| >> :60:644:644:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
3 - 0
Cesar Vallejo

Julio (29'), Alvarado (76'), Alzugaray (88')
Julio (31'), Zubeldia (32'), Alvarado (45+2'), Alzugaray (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ascues (34'), Mena (45+1'), Quinones (90+4')
Vanegas (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between LDU Quito and Cesar Vallejo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: LDU Quito 0-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Cesar Vallejo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Magallanes
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: LDU Quito 2-0 Cesar Vallejo

 Given that LDU Quito remain unbeaten in the Copa Sudamericana this year, we expect to hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory over Cesar Vallejo, who have one of the worst defensive records in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.38%) and 1-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawCesar Vallejo
80.21% (1.62 1.62) 13.71% (-0.82 -0.82) 6.08% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 38.83% (-1.617 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.529 0.53)40.88% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (0.539 0.54)63.27% (-0.535 -0.53)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.92% (0.49499999999999 0.49)8.08% (-0.4909 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.6% (1.227 1.23)28.4% (-1.223 -1.22)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.25% (-1.995 -2)57.75% (1.999 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.54% (-1.13 -1.13)89.46% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 80.19%
    Cesar Vallejo 6.08%
    Draw 13.71%
LDU QuitoDrawCesar Vallejo
2-0 @ 14.76% (0.34 0.34)
3-0 @ 12.38% (0.57 0.57)
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 7.79% (0.536 0.54)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.92% (0.355 0.36)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
6-0 @ 1.64% (0.184 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 0.9% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 80.19%
1-1 @ 6.44% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.23% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 13.71%
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 6.08%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs Cesar Vallejo

LDU Quito
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cesar Vallejo
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Cesar Vallejo
1-2
LDU Quito
Velez (70' pen.)
Alzugaray (52'), Anangono (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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