MX23RW : Monday, January 13 08:27:51| >> :60:34:34:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Mansiche

Cesar Vallejo
3 - 2
Magallanes

Fuentes (3'), Velez (35'), Mena (80')
Fuentes (45+1'), Rabines (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Villanueva (42'), Zapata (89' pen.)
Vasquez (17'), Canales (60')
Pinero (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cesar Vallejo and Magallanes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesar Vallejo

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Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Botafogo
Friday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Magallanes

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Last Game: Magallanes 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Cesar Vallejo 1-1 Magallanes

 Cesar Vallejo already know their time in the Sudamericana is drawing to a close, but they should be able to put in a good display considering from impressive form in the Peruvian Primera Division. Magallanes are looking to fight off relegation domestically, but the Sudamericana is offering a chance to forget about the worries of the Chilean Primera Division for a night at least. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.

Result
Cesar VallejoDrawMagallanes
56% (0.29 0.29) 22.96% (-0.138 -0.14) 21.03% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.41% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (0.407 0.41)46.26% (-0.408 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (0.384 0.38)68.55% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.245 0.25)16.34% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.06% (0.444 0.44)45.93% (-0.446 -0.45)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.079999999999998 0.08)36.16% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.082000000000001 0.08)72.94% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cesar Vallejo 56%
    Magallanes 21.03%
    Draw 22.96%
Cesar VallejoDrawMagallanes
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 21.03%

Head to Head
May 3, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Magallanes
2-2
Cesar Vallejo
Santibanez (33' og.)
rhs 2.0
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