MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:08:36| >> :60:1309:1309:
Audax Italiano
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Nublense

Audax
0 - 1
Nublense


Sepulveda (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oyarzo (50')
Caroca (59'), Rubio (73'), Cerezo (82'), Aranguiz (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Audax Italiano and Nublense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Audax Italiano

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-0 Audax
Thursday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nublense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nublense 0-0 Audax
Thursday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Audax Italiano 0-1 Nublense (Nublense win 1-0 on aggregate)

 Neither side has found the net with any regularity of late, but with a place in the last 16 on the line, both will have to come out of their shells at some stage. It may still be only one goal that decides who will progress, and Nublense can make their possession pay this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nublense in this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawNublense
53.63% (0.226 0.23) 25.72% (-0.147 -0.15) 20.65% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.426 0.43)57.39% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.79% (0.337 0.34)78.21% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (0.271 0.27)21.47% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (0.414 0.41)54.51% (-0.412 -0.41)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.08% (0.163 0.16)42.93% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.138 0.14)79.23% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 53.63%
    Nublense 20.65%
    Draw 25.72%
Audax ItalianoDrawNublense
1-0 @ 14.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 20.65%

How you voted: Audax vs Nublense

Audax Italiano
45.5%
Draw
22.7%
Nublense
31.8%
22
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 11pm
Round of 32 1st Leg
Nublense
0-0
Audax
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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