Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Tigre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Tigre
With first place basically assured, Sao Paulo will want to get through this match without any serious injuries, so we do not expect this to be a very intense game. However, the overall depth of Tricolor Paulista along with a solid defensive shape should be enough for them to claim a narrow victory against an opponent in Tigre who are struggling away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Tigre |
52.4% ( 0) | 24.31% ( 0.01) | 23.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
