Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 23, 2020 at 1.30am UK
LDU Quito4 - 2Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 43.82% | 26.53% | 29.64% |
| Both teams to score 50.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
