MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 22:35:56| >> :60:12:12:
America Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
Fortaleza

America Mineiro
1 - 3
Fortaleza

Mastriani (69')
Borges (45+2'), Burgos (82')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Guilherme (15', 41'), Pochettino (21')
Alexandre (0'), Pablo Vojvoda (46'), Ricardo (79'), Alexandre (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between America Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

America Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 3-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, August 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 0-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: America Mineiro 1-1 Fortaleza

 America have shown plenty of resilience and quality at home in this year's competition, but they might find it harder to penetrate a defensive unit who have been a little more consistent throughout the campaign than Bragantino. Fortaleza have put together their share of positive results on the road this season, and we expect they will be in another scrappy affair this week, which might make it harder for them to create chances in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
America MineiroDrawFortaleza
43.13% (0.137 0.14) 27.25% (-0.061 -0.06) 29.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (0.194 0.19)56.69% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.156 0.16)77.65% (-0.155 -0.16)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.161 0.16)26.04% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (0.216 0.22)61.08% (-0.215 -0.21)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (0.045000000000002 0.05)34.46% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.17% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 43.12%
    Fortaleza 29.62%
    Draw 27.25%
America MineiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.12%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.56% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Fortaleza

America Mineiro
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
Fortaleza
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Breno (2'), Azevedo (33')
Avelar (16'), Marques (53'), Marcinho (60'), Kal (88')
Pochettino (26')
Ceballos (23'), Moises (45')
Oct 16, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 32
America Mineiro
1-2
Fortaleza
Paulista (90+1' pen.)
Galhardo (34', 83')
Jun 19, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 13
Fortaleza
1-0
America Mineiro
Pikachu (43')
Ceballos (75')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 29
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Jussa (58'), Titi (63'), Lima (66'), Romarinho (77'), Ederson (81')
> Preview
Jul 7, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 10
Fortaleza
4-0
America Mineiro
Ederson (45+2'), David (56', 62'), Torres (84')
Felipe (80'), Ederson (85')

Alberto (89')
> Preview
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