MX23RW : Sunday, September 15 12:51:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Juventude

Martin Lucero (21' pen.), Pikachu (45+3')
Pikachu (55'), Sasha (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ewerton (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Juventude

While Juventude will be extremely pleased with the start they have made on their return to the top flight, the vast majority of their good work has been done on their home patch, while they are still looking for their first away win of the campaign. Fortaleza are unbeaten at home this term and have kept three consecutive clean sheets on their home patch in this month alone. We feel the hosts will edge the result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawJuventude
61.11% (0.736 0.74) 22.24% (-0.347 -0.35) 16.65% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.03% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.77 0.77)49.53% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.688 0.69)71.56% (-0.687 -0.69)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (0.514 0.51)15.74% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (0.938 0.94)44.84% (-0.937 -0.94)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)43% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.026 -0.03)79.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 61.1%
    Juventude 16.65%
    Draw 22.24%
FortalezaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.65%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Juventude

Fortaleza
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Juventude
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 27
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
Gabriel (78')
Doin (45' og.)
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
1-1
Juventude
Yuri (32'), Henrique (58')
Dec 4, 2021 12am
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
Bueno (71')
Jesus (56')
Marcelo (16')
Felipe (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo26165545252053
2FortalezaFortaleza2614753225749
3PalmeirasPalmeiras25145638191947
4FlamengoFlamengo24135639281144
5Cruzeiro2512583426841
6Sao Paulo2512583326741
7Bahia2511683427739
8InternacionalInternacional239862420435
9Vasco da GamaVasco24104102934-534
10Atletico Mineiro238963233-133
11BragantinoBragantino2486102930-130
12Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2486102729-230
13JuventudeJuventude2578102935-629
14CriciumaCriciuma2477103235-328
15Gremio2383122328-527
16Fluminense2476112026-627
17Vitoria2674152839-1125
18Corinthians26510112333-1025
19Cuiaba2457122335-1222
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2646162142-2118


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