Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza3 - 0Palmeiras
We said: Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras
While Palestra do not have a great record at Arena Casleleo, we believe that the momentum they have built up will carry them to a sixth successive triumph on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Palmeiras |
38.74% ( -0.06) | 27.94% ( 0) | 33.32% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
