Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Melton Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Melton Town win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.
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