Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon3 - 2Briton Ferry
Clarke (12', 16')
Williams (6'), Thomas (71')
Williams (6'), Thomas (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brock (38'), Mooney (89')
Anderson (90+1')
Anderson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
40.39% ( -0.08) | 23.62% ( 0.2) | 35.99% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.78% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.89% ( -0.98) | 39.11% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.56% ( -1.04) | 61.44% ( 1.04) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -0.45) | 19.7% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( -0.74) | 51.71% ( 0.74) |
Briton Ferry Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( -0.51) | 21.82% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( -0.78) | 55.04% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 40.39%
Briton Ferry 35.99%
Draw 23.62%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Briton Ferry |
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.99% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 10:03:23
6pm
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Bears
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Lions
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Colts
6pm
Patriots
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Dolphins
6pm
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Giants
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Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
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Texans
6pm
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@
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9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
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9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
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