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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Briton Ferry

Clarke (12', 16')
Williams (6'), Thomas (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brock (38'), Mooney (89')
Anderson (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBriton Ferry
40.39% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 23.62% (0.196 0.2) 35.99% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-0.761 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (-0.985 -0.98)39.11% (0.984 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-1.041 -1.04)61.44% (1.04 1.04)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.452 -0.45)19.7% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.74 -0.74)51.71% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (-0.506 -0.51)21.82% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (-0.777 -0.78)55.04% (0.777 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 40.39%
    Briton Ferry 35.99%
    Draw 23.62%
Caernarfon TownDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.98% (0.223 0.22)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.196 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.99%

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