MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 16:15:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.53% (-1.182 -1.18) 24.92% (0.012 0.01) 42.56% (1.168 1.17)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.435 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (-0.4 -0.4)46.07% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-0.379 -0.38)68.37% (0.376 0.38)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.917 -0.92)27.06% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.214 -1.21)62.43% (1.213 1.21)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.38199999999999 0.38)21.65% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.582 0.58)54.79% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.53%
    Haverfordwest County 42.56%
    Draw 24.91%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!