MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:45:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Jones (75')
Gosset (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahmun (73'), Jones (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
32.53% (-1.182 -1.18) 24.92% (0.012 0.01) 42.56% (1.168 1.17)
Both teams to score 57.15% (-0.435 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.94% (-0.4 -0.4)46.07% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-0.379 -0.38)68.37% (0.376 0.38)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94% (-0.917 -0.92)27.06% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57% (-1.214 -1.21)62.43% (1.213 1.21)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.38199999999999 0.38)21.65% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.582 0.58)54.79% (-0.584 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 32.53%
    Haverfordwest County 42.56%
    Draw 24.91%
Caernarfon TownDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.252 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.115 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.56%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
0-1
Haverfordwest

Gosset (42'), John Williams (90+4')
Donohue (90+4')
Dyer (73')
Abbruzzese (90+4')
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Haverfordwest
1-1
Caernarfon
Abbruzzese (90+6')
Whitmore (26')
Lloyd (77')
Richard Williams (18'), Gosset (27'), Austin (38'), Wynne (90+5')
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
2-2
Caernarfon
Wilson (10'), Patten (71')
John Williams (12'), Davies (74' og.)
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
2-1
Haverfordwest
O'Rourke (5'), Faux (70')
Wilson (57')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Haverfordwest
1-0
Caernarfon
Davies (80')

Wynne (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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