MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:11:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium

Haverfordwest
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Hawkins (45+1'), Taylor-Crossdale (58')
Fawcett (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cadwallader (80'), Canavan (90+4'), Woollam (90+1')
Bassey (28')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Barry
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
54.78% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.42% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.8% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.05% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.094999999999999 0.09)47.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.09 0.09)69.49% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.148 0.15)35.98% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.152 0.15)72.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 54.78%
    Aberystwyth Town 21.8%
    Draw 23.41%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.3%
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
1-0
Haverfordwest
Lewis (40')
Kirkman (42'), Walsh (83')

Whitmore (19'), Jenkins (90')
Dec 30, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Haverfordwest
3-0
Aberystwyth
Abbruzzese (53'), Whitmore (70', 74')
Wilson (58'), Abbruzzese (81')

Darlington (44')
Darlington (58')
Apr 15, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Haverfordwest
1-1
Aberystwyth
Leahy (54')
Litchfield (45')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Haverfordwest
Evans (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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