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Welsh Premier League
May 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Cardiff MU

Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-2 Bala Town
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
47.22% (-0.465 -0.47) 23.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 28.87% (0.446 0.45)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (0.21 0.21)43.18% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (0.211 0.21)65.58% (-0.215 -0.22)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.104 -0.1)18.46% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (-0.175 -0.17)49.64% (0.17 0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.419 0.42)28.03% (-0.425 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.53 0.53)63.68% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.22%
    Cardiff MU 28.87%
    Draw 23.89%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.87%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints14110341142733
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
12Briton Ferry1422101529-148
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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