Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown0 - 4Caernarfon
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Newtown
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Haverfordwest
Saturday, August 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 17 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 65.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
65.55% ( -0.07) | 17.76% ( 0.03) | 16.69% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 64.13% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.34% ( -0.05) | 28.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.44% ( -0.07) | 49.55% ( 0.07) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.73% ( -0.03) | 8.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.11% ( -0.07) | 28.89% ( 0.07) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.91% ( 0.01) | 30.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.77% ( 0.01) | 66.23% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newtown AFC 65.55%
Caernarfon Town 16.69%
Draw 17.76%
Newtown AFC | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.76% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 16.69% |
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 12:38:42
6pm
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Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
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Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 19 | 26 | 36 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 10 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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