MX23RW : Monday, September 16 12:37:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 0
Briton Ferry

Williams (61')
Sutton (38'), Roberts (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jones (32'), Owen (40'), Jenkins (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Briton Ferry.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-5 Connah's Quay
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.59%) and 3-1 (5.32%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBriton Ferry
43.47% (0.15000000000001 0.15) 22.13% (0.038 0.04) 34.41% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 68.14% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (-0.253 -0.25)31.97% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (-0.296 -0.3)53.53% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)15.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)44.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Briton Ferry Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.205 -0.2)19.35% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.341 -0.34)51.13% (0.346 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 43.47%
    Briton Ferry 34.41%
    Draw 22.13%
Newtown AFCDrawBriton Ferry
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 43.47%
1-1 @ 9.19% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.41%

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