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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Newtown logo

Haverfordwest
3 - 0
Newtown

Jenkins (33'), Humphreys (52'), Jones (58')
Humphreys (23'), Shepherd (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oswell (7'), Ismail (23'), Smith (25'), Williams (60')
Ismail (45+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haverfordwest County

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 1-2 Newtown
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
48.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 24.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)49.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (0.07 0.07)71.39% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.97% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.77% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.33% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 48.22%
    Newtown AFC 26.78%
    Draw 24.99%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (4')
Jones (64'), Sears (90+4')
Wycherley (37' og.)
Owen (45+4')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-4
Newtown

Whitmore (70'), Fawcett (72'), Tabone (83')
Cowans (17'), Williams (36', 71'), Ismail (90+5')
Sutton (45')
May 13, 2023 5.15pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
(Aggregate 1-1 | Haverfordwest win 4-3 on penalties)
Williams (38')
Sears (120+2')
Davies (24')
Dec 11, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
2-0
Haverfordwest
Aris (29'), Hesden (84')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Haverfordwest
2-3
Newtown
Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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