MX23RW : Saturday, September 14 10:03:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Bridge Meadow Stadium
Newtown logo

Haverfordwest
3 - 0
Newtown

Jenkins (33'), Humphreys (52'), Jones (58')
Humphreys (23'), Shepherd (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oswell (7'), Ismail (23'), Smith (25'), Williams (60')
Ismail (45+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-2 Newtown
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
48.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 24.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)49.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (0.07 0.07)71.39% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.97% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (0.084999999999994 0.08)32.77% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (0.094999999999999 0.09)69.33% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 48.22%
    Newtown AFC 26.78%
    Draw 24.99%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.22%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.78%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
Williams (4')
Jones (64'), Sears (90+4')
Wycherley (37' og.)
Owen (45+4')
Sep 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Haverfordwest
0-4
Newtown

Whitmore (70'), Fawcett (72'), Tabone (83')
Cowans (17'), Williams (36', 71'), Ismail (90+5')
Sutton (45')
May 13, 2023 5.15pm
Newtown
1-1
Haverfordwest
(Aggregate 1-1 | Haverfordwest win 4-3 on penalties)
Williams (38')
Sears (120+2')
Davies (24')
Dec 11, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Newtown
2-0
Haverfordwest
Aris (29'), Hesden (84')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Haverfordwest
2-3
Newtown
Rees (15'), Wilson (45+2')
Robles (29'), Williams (64', 85')
Sears (7'), Hughes (11'), Walker (41'), Wharton (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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