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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Pilot Field

Hastings
1 - 0
Harefield United

Rodari (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Hastings United and Harefield United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hastings United

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Last Game: Hastings 3-1 Redhill
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Harefield United

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Last Game: Lewes 0-0 Harefield United (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hastings United win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Harefield United had a probability of 15.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hastings United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Harefield United win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hastings United would win this match.

Result
Hastings UnitedDrawHarefield United
66.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 18.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 15.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 60.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Hastings United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)9.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Harefield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hastings United 66.02%
    Harefield United 15.87%
    Draw 18.11%
Hastings UnitedDrawHarefield United
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.65%
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 4.21%
4-0 @ 4.16%
4-2 @ 2.53%
5-1 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 2%
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 66.02%
1-1 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.02%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.11%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 15.87%

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