Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lewes win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Harefield United had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lewes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Harefield United win it was 2-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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