FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Amlin Stadium
Cray Valley0 - 2Chesham
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grant (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Cray Valley Paper Mills and Chesham United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cray Valley Paper Mills | Draw | Chesham United |
37.79% ( 0.02) | 24.09% ( -0) | 38.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.01) | 41.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( 0.01) | 63.68% ( -0.01) |
| Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.86% ( 0.02) | 55.14% ( -0.02) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.01) | 21.71% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.12% ( -0.01) | 54.88% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Cray Valley Paper Mills 37.79%
Chesham United 38.13%
Draw 24.08%
| Cray Valley Paper Mills | Draw | Chesham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.13% |
Form Guide
