MX23RW : Wednesday, September 18 08:50:52| >> :600:8271819:8271819:
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Amlin Stadium

Cray Valley
0 - 2
Chesham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Grant (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Cray Valley Paper Mills and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Badshot Lea 1-3 Cray Valley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Cray Valley Paper MillsDrawChesham United
37.79% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.13% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.68% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cray Valley Paper Mills 37.79%
    Chesham United 38.13%
    Draw 24.08%
Cray Valley Paper MillsDrawChesham United
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.13%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!