FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westfield Lane Stadium
Badshot Lea1 - 3Cray Valley
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Badshot Lea and Cray Valley Paper Mills.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cray Valley 1-5 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cray Valley Paper Mills win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Badshot Lea had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Badshot Lea win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cray Valley Paper Mills would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Badshot Lea | Draw | Cray Valley Paper Mills |
14.08% ( -0.05) | 16.91% ( -0.03) | 69.01% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.04) | 30.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.69% ( 0.05) | 51.3% ( -0.05) |
| Badshot Lea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.04) | 34.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.18% ( -0.04) | 70.82% ( 0.04) |
| Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.07% ( 0.03) | 7.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.99% ( 0.07) | 28.01% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Badshot Lea 14.08%
Cray Valley Paper Mills 69.01%
Draw 16.91%
| Badshot Lea | Draw | Cray Valley Paper Mills |
| 2-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 14.08% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.91% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.36% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.99% Total : 69.01% |
