Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.