Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 53.19%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.