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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
1 - 0
Carlton Town

Williams (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Leamington FC and Carlton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leamington FC

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Leamington
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North

Carlton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Carlton Town 1-0 Stamford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Carlton Town had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Carlton Town win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawCarlton Town
53.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.34%
Carlton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)68.38% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 53.52%
    Carlton Town 23.6%
    Draw 22.88%
Leamington FCDrawCarlton Town
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 23.6%

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