Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Three Bridges win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Ashford United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Three Bridges win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.4%) and 1-3 (5.08%). The likeliest Ashford United win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.